YV 6141 · IAH → ATL

departs 2:41 PM CT · arrives 5:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6141 · IAH → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?