YV 6166 · IAH → DSM

departs 11:56 AM CT · arrives 2:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Cloud base down to 367 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DSM that day

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

↓ YV's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

DSM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6166 · IAH → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?