YX 3519 · EWR → IND

departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 8:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3519 · EWR → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?