YX 4376 · DTW → LGA

departs 9:19 AM ET · arrives 11:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4376 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?