Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4486
SCHEDULED
Today
YX 4486 · CAE → ORD
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to ORD?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
4%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.