Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4500
SCHEDULED
YX 4500 · YHZ → LGA
departs 3:20 PM ADT · arrives 4:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to LGA?
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On time or early
70%
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15–30 min late
8%
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30 min–1 hour late
6%
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1–2 hours late
6%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.