YX 4567 · LGA → CHS

departs 2:38 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4567 · LGA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?