YX 4674 · PHL → MYR

departs 8:47 AM ET · arrives 10:42 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8am departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4674 · PHL → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?