YX 4724 · BOS → LGA

departs 7:34 PM ET · arrives 8:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4724 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?