Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5658
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
YX 5658 · JFK → CMH
departs 9:15 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.