YX 5659 · IND → DTW

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 6:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5659 · IND → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?