YX 5668 · BOS → BWI

departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 12:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5668 · BOS → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?