YX 5728 · LGA → BOS

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:23 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5728 · LGA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?