YX 5754 · JFK → PIT

departs 7:47 PM ET · arrives 9:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5754 · JFK → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?