YX 5760 · GRR → LGA

departs 5:59 AM ET · arrives 8:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.30 in

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5760 · GRR → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?