Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
YX 5795 · JFK → PIT
departs 7:29 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.