YX 5821 · LGA → SYR

departs 10:07 AM ET · arrives 11:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5821 · LGA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?