Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1036 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1036 · DFW → MCI

departs 10:44 PM CT · arrives 12:23 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

MCI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility4.42857 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1036 · DFW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?