Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1100 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1100 · DFW → PHL

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 6:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±6 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.83 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1100 · DFW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?