Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1234 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1234 · DFW → MKE

departs 9:10 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.09 in

MKE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1234 · DFW → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?