Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1312 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1312 · DFW → MCO

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 2:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1312 · DFW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?