Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1396 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1396 · DFW → AUS

departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.45 in

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1396 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?