Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1402 · AUS → DFW

departs 12:40 PM CT · arrives 1:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.99 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1402 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?