Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1405SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 1405 · RNO → PHX
departs 9:52 AM PT · arrives 11:35 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.