Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1410 · DFW → STL

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at STL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1410 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?