Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1425 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1425 · DFW → BDL

departs 6:49 PM CT · arrives 11:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

BDL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1425 · DFW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?