Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1472 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1472 · DFW → MSY

departs 10:30 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±10 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.13 in

MSY (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1472 · DFW → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?