Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1492 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1492 · CMH → DFW

departs 2:42 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±7 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.40 in

DFW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1492 · CMH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?