Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1523 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1523 · DFW → DEN

departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 8:08 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1523 · DFW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?