Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1609 · LGA → DFW
departs 1:08 PM ET · arrives 3:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±8 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DFW?
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On time or early
52%
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15–30 min late
18%
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30 min–1 hour late
13%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
9%
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Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.