Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 1650 · ORD → BNA

departs 10:29 AM CT · arrives 12:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

BNA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1650 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?