Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1656 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 1656 · DFW → CHS

departs 11:13 AM CT · arrives 2:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

CHS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1656 · DFW → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?