Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1748 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1748 · MCO → LAX

departs 10:34 AM ET · arrives 12:47 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1748 · MCO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?