Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1769SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 1769 · JFK → PHX
departs 9:16 AM ET · arrives 11:36 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.