Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1786 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1786 · DTW → DFW

departs 7:51 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±6 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.72 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.45 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1786 · DTW → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?