Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1835SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 1835 · PHX → MSN
departs 6:50 PM MT · arrives 12:13 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
32%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.