Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1849 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1849 · SFO → DFW

departs 11:24 AM PT · arrives 5:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1849 · SFO → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?