Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1851SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 1851 · ORD → FLL
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±0 pts+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.