tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1909 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1909 · ORD → IAH

departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 10:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±5 pts +19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    55%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.