Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1929 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1929 · DFW → IAH

departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 6:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.09 in

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1929 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?