Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1935 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 1935 · DFW → MEM

departs 9:39 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1935 · DFW → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?