Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1980 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1980 · DFW → JAX

departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ JAX usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

JAX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1980 · DFW → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?