Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1994 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1994 · LAX → PHX

departs 1:10 PM PT · arrives 2:40 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1994 · LAX → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?