Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2020
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2020 · ORD → LAS
departs 6:29 AM CT · arrives 8:19 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to LAS?
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On time or early
79%
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15–30 min late
9%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.