Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2031 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2031 · PHL → LAX

departs 1:22 PM ET · arrives 4:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2031 · PHL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?