Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2039 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2039 · LAX → LAS

departs 12:26 PM PT · arrives 1:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2039 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?