Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2059 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2059 · ORD → LGA

departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 2:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precip0.05 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2059 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?