Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2065 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2065 · MCO → PHL

departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 6:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2065 · MCO → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?