Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2108 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 2108 · DFW → PHX

departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 2:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±8 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.20 in

PHX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2108 · DFW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?