tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2109 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 2109 · PHL → MCO

departs 2:02 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.